Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 10:52 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has converted 40.8% of his treys while playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league.
In terms of 3-point attempts, the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league when playing at home since the start of last season has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
Out of all players in the NBA, Malcolm Brogdon registers in the 80th percentile for foul-shot proficiency while on the road with a an outstanding 84.7% rate since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league while playing away from home this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Portland Trail Blazers rank 8thworst in in the NBA when playing away from home with a mere 9.7 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, opposing squads have captured 11.0 offensive rebounds per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Detroit Pistons (preserving possessions that can result in more chances for offense).
Since the start of last season when they are away from home, opposing clubs have attempted 26.2 foul shots per game (most in the league) vs. the Pistons, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.
Malcolm Brogdon ought to suffer a reduction in output across the board on account of playing away from hom in this game.

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