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Malcolm Brogdon

Malcolm Brogdon Points
Player Prop - 5/17/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-118/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 10.6 shots per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 78th percentile among all players in the league.

Malcolm Brogdon has made an impressive 42.9% of his three-point shots this year, quite a bit more than his 29.6 mark last year.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Malcolm Brogdon will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually improves player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Miami is a tough one for shots from the field; when the Heat are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 14th-least shots made from the field per game in the league this year (5.7).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 4.6 mark last season.

More Malcolm Brogdon Player Props

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