Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 5/14/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 14, 2023

Updated May 14, 2023 3:06 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made a whopping 43.0% of his treys this year, a sizeable increase from his 29.6 rate last year.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The 76ers have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon has converted 2.3 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the 76ers may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (29th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the 76ers is a challenging one for scoring; opposing starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least buckets per game in the NBA this year (5.7).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 76ers have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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