Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · May 11, 2023

Updated May 11, 2023 6:01 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made a whopping 42.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, a big improvement over his 29.6 rate last year.
The Boston Celtics have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
The 76ers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the 76ers may be a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (29th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the 76ers is a challenging one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 15th-least shots made from the field per game in the league this year (5.7).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made a mere 2.3 free throws per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 4.0 rate last season.