Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 9, 2023

Updated May 9, 2023 6:51 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has scored 18.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's scored over the course of the season.
Malcolm Brogdon has made a whopping 42.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc this season, a sizeable increase from his 29.6 rate last season.
The Boston Celtics have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The 76ers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.5) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the 76ers may be a strong one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (28th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The matchup against the 76ers is a hard one for shots from the field; opposing starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least baskets per game in the league this year (5.8).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The 76ers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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