Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 5/7/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · May 7, 2023

Updated May 7, 2023 3:36 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has made a terrific 42.3% of his 3-pointers this year, a big improvement over his 29.6 mark last year.
The Boston Celtics rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The 76ers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon has sunk 85.9% of his foul shots this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a strong one for drawing fouls; when the 76ers are at home, opposing squads have attempted a monstrous 23.6 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (10th-most in the league).
Malcolm Brogdon will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.