Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 5/5/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · May 5, 2023

Updated May 5, 2023 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made 6.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Malcolm Brogdon has converted a terrific 42.2% of his 3-point shots this year, quite a bit more than his 29.6 mark last year.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The 76ers have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the 76ers may be a good one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (29th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a tough one; when the 76ers are playing at home, they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (15.8).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games away from home.
The 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease plays for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production across the board.