Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 5/3/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 3, 2023

Updated May 3, 2023 10:26 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has made 6.8 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
Malcolm Brogdon has made an impressive 42.0% of his three-pointers this season, a big improvement over his 29.6 mark last season.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
The 76ers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.5) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the 76ers may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 6.3 free throws per game over the last 5 games (29th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the 76ers is a difficult one for scoring; opposing starting PGs have averaged the 14th-least buckets per game in the NBA this year (5.8).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
The 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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