Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 1, 2023

Updated May 1, 2023 9:21 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made a whopping 42.1% of his three-pointers this year, quite a bit higher than his 29.6 rate last year.
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court.
The 76ers have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (6.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon has converted 2.4 foul shots per game this year, placing him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the 76ers is a tough one for scoring; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 14th-least baskets per game in the NBA this year (5.8).
The 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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