Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 4/18/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 18, 2023

Updated Apr 18, 2023 7:46 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 13.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Malcolm Brogdon has converted an impressive 42.8% of his 3-point attempts this season, significantly more than his 29.6 rate last season.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.
The Hawks have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should increase possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Hawks is a positive one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (120.6).
As a team, the Boston Celtics have been poor at drawing fouls of late: worst in the league over the last 25 games, totaling a measly 19.7 free throws per game.