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Malcolm Brogdon

Malcolm Brogdon Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2023

Boston Celtics vs Utah Jazz

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-118/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made a terrific 43.0% of his attempts from downtown this year, quite a bit more than his 29.6 rate last year.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games at home.

The Jazz have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Celtics.

Malcolm Brogdon will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Malcolm Brogdon has scored a mere 14.6 points per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 19.1 points per game last season.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Jazz have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when the Jazz are the visiting squad, their opposition have attempted an enormous 25.1 free throws per game over the last 20 games (10th-most in the league).

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