Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 3/30/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics · Mar 30, 2023

Updated Mar 31, 2023 2:52 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has sunk a whopping 43.7% of his 3-pointers this season, significantly more than his 29.6 mark last season.
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing teams have put up the lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (45.3%).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Bucks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Celtics.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The Bucks have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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