Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Washington Wizards vs Boston Celtics · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 28, 2023 9:57 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has made 46.4% of his three-point attempts while on the road this year, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Wizards is a tough one for three-pointers; opposing clubs have tallied the 8th-least 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (11.9).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Malcolm Brogdon has sunk 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's put through the net overall this year.

Favors Under

The Wizards have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Wizards have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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