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Malcolm Brogdon

Malcolm Brogdon Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 17.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
  • Malcolm Brogdon has played 33.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 90th percentile.
  • The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing on the road.
  • While at home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Malcolm Brogdon has made 91.4% of his free throws over the last 10 games on the road, 8.3% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season without the home court advantage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This matchup is a good one for three-pointers; opposing teams have compiled the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (37.0%).
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games while on the road.
  • The Boston Celtics check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
  • This matchup may be a strong one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted a massive 30.5 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (most in the NBA).
  • Malcolm Brogdon will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

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