Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics · Mar 13, 2023

Updated Mar 13, 2023 10:27 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 17.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Malcolm Brogdon has played 33.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 90th percentile.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on the road.
The Rockets have played at the quickest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to raise plays for the Celtics.
Malcolm Brogdon has converted 91.4% of his free throws over the last 10 games on the road, 8.3% higher than he's converted in all games this season while playing on the road.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Rockets have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; when the Rockets are at home, opposing squads have attempted a colossal 29.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games (2nd-most in the NBA).
Malcolm Brogdon will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to reduces stat production in all stat categories.