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Malcolm Brogdon

Malcolm Brogdon Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2023

Boston Celtics vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 17.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
  • Malcolm Brogdon has averaged 33.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 90th percentile.
  • The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Trail Blazers have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made 91.4% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 8.3% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Boston Celtics have been the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games at home.
  • This matchup is a favorable one for threes; their opposition have posted the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (37.0%).
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.
  • The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.
  • This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a massive 30.5 free throws per game over the last 25 games (most in the league).

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