Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics · Mar 6, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 17.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted overall this season.
Malcolm Brogdon has averaged 33.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 90th percentile.
The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing away from home.
The Cavaliers have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made 91.4% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 8.3% more than he's converted overall this season without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games on the road.
The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage, which ought to decrease plays for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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