Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 1, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-106/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 17.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Malcolm Brogdon has averaged 33.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 90th percentile.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon has sunk 91.4% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 8.3% more than he's made overall this year.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games while playing at home.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games while traveling, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Celtics.

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