Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics · Feb 27, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 17.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
Malcolm Brogdon has been on the court for 33.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 90th percentile.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road.
While playing at home, the Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon has converted 91.4% of his free throws over the last 10 games on the road, 8.3% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while on the road.

Favors Under

This matchup is a favorable one for attempts from downtown; when the Knicks are at home, the other team have tallied the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league against them this year (37.6).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing away from home.
The Knicks have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; opposing clubs have attempted a colossal 24.7 free throws per game over the last 25 games (7th-most in the league).