Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 1:41 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 17.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Malcolm Brogdon has tallied 33.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 90th percentile.
The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.
On their home court, the 76ers have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made 91.4% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 8.3% higher than he's made over the course of the season while on the road.

Favors Under

This matchup is a good one for shots from the field; opposing teams have put up the 9th-highest FG% in the NBA over the last 20 games when the 76ers are at home (47.7%).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage.
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a good one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a monstrous 23.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games (10th-most in the league).