Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · Feb 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 13.1 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Malcolm Brogdon has converted a terrific 44.6% of his three-point shots this year, a significant increase from his 29.6 mark last year.
Malcolm Brogdon has been on the court for 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 5.8 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year at home.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league at home this year.
This matchup is a positive one for three-pointers; when the 76ers are the visiting team, the other team have averaged the most treys per game in the NBA against them this year (10.8).

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 76ers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The 76ers have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the 76ers may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; opposing clubs have attempted a lowly 26.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the 76ers are on the road (5th-least in the NBA).