Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Boston Celtics · Feb 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made 8.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.9 higher than he's converted in all games this year while on the road.
Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made 3.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's made from three over the course of the season when playing away from home.
Malcolm Brogdon has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.2 more than he's been on the court for overall this year.
This matchup is a strong one for attempts from beyond the arc; opposing clubs have totaled the 7th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 20 games (32.5).
The Pistons have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which should increase plays for the Celtics.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics check in as the 2nd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
While on their home court, the Pistons have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Pistons may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted just 29.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

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