Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 1, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 7.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Malcolm Brogdon has sunk 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted over the course of the season.
Malcolm Brogdon has tallied 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.3 more than he's tallied overall this season.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games at home (which can also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to boosts player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Malcolm Brogdon has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's committed over the course of the season.
The Nets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Nets may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted a mere 28.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (least in the league).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
As a team, the Boston Celtics have been poor at drawing fouls: 9th-worst in the league this year with a mere 22.7 foul shots per game.