Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 1/19/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 19, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/-100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has sunk a terrific 44.2% of his 3-pointers this season, a big improvement over his 29.6 rate last season.
Malcolm Brogdon has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 9.0% more than he's sunk overall this season.
The Boston Celtics have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Celtics have played at the quickest pace in the league this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Warriors.
The Warriors have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the league to opposing teams this year while playing on the road (which also produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Warriors is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; opposing teams have attempted a lowly 26.2 free throws per game this year (least in the league).
The matchup against the Warriors is a challenging one; away from home they have allowed the least points per game in the league to their opposition this year (123.4).
The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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