Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Boston Celtics · Jan 14, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has made 2.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made from three over the course of the year.
Malcolm Brogdon has sunk 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's put through the net in all games this season while playing away from home.
The Boston Celtics have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Celtics have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should increase opportunities for the Hornets.
The matchup against the Hornets is a positive one for shots from the field; when playing at home, their opposition have tallied the 9th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (87.7).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Hornets is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a measly 26.7 free throws per game with the home court advantage this year (least in the league).
The matchup against the Hornets is a tough one; they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the NBA to opposing squads this year (118.6).
The Boston Celtics check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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