Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Boston Celtics · Jan 12, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has sunk 2.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted in all games this season.
Malcolm Brogdon has converted 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Nets is a strong one for scoring; while on their home court, opposing clubs have posted the 7th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (45.5%).

Favors Under

The Nets have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Nets is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the other team have attempted a mere 24.8 foul shots per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).
The Boston Celtics rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Celtics have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Nets.
Malcolm Brogdon will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player performance for all stats.

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