Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has sunk an impressive 42.9% of his treys this season, a big improvement over his 29.6 rate last season.
Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Celtics have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year away from their home city, which ought to boost plays for the Pelicans.
The Pelicans have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (which can also create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Pelicans is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; the other team have tallied the 6th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (36.5).
The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA since the start of last season while on their home court.

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