Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Boston Celtics · Jan 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has sunk a whopping 42.2% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, a significant increase from his 29.6 mark last year.
Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while playing on the road.
The Boston Celtics have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league away from home this year.
The Celtics have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should raise possessions for the Spurs.
The matchup against the Spurs is a positive one for attempts from beyond the arc; the other team have tallied the 9th-most three attempts per game in the league this year while at home (33.0).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Spurs is a hard one for field goals; opposing squads have tallied the least field goals per game in the league this year (45.2).
The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player performance for all stats.

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