Malcolm Brogdon Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics · Jan 5, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has sunk a terrific 41.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, quite a bit higher than his 29.6 mark last year.
Malcolm Brogdon has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 10.0% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
The Boston Celtics have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league this year without the home court advantage.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a monstrous 21.7 free throws per game since the start of last season (9th-most in the league).
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a good one for attempts from downtown; with the home court advantage, opposing teams have tallied the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (31.7).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a tough one for scoring; opposing teams have compiled the 8th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (48.1%).
The Boston Celtics rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Mavericks.
Malcolm Brogdon will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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