Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has made a whopping 43.0% of his 3-point shots this year, a significant increase from his 29.6 rate last year.
Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 5.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.
The Boston Celtics rank as the most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when it comes to three-point attempts.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.
Away from home, the Raptors have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This matchup is a positive one for threes; opposing squads have put up the highest three rate in the league over the last 10 games while on the road (42.9%).
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to reduce possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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