Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Portland Trail Blazers vs Boston Celtics · Mar 17, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 10:01 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-154/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +126 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 5.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile among all players in the league.
Malcolm Brogdon has played 33.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 90th percentile.
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.
While at home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This matchup is a good one for three-pointers; opposing teams have compiled the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (37.0%).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games while on the road.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

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