Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics · Feb 27, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 4:06 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-160).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 5.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, placing him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Malcolm Brogdon has been on the court for 33.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 90th percentile.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.
While playing at home, the Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This matchup is a favorable one for attempts from downtown; when the Knicks are at home, the other team have tallied the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league against them this year (37.6).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing away from home.
The Knicks have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player performance for all stats.