Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics · Feb 23, 2023

Updated Feb 24, 2023 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-138/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 5.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile among all players in the NBA.
Malcolm Brogdon has averaged 33.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 90th percentile.
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
This matchup is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; when the Pacers have the home court advantage, opposing squads have tallied the 3rd-least three attempts per game in the league against them this year (31.8).
The Pacers have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost possessions for the Celtics.

Favors Under

This matchup is a good one for three-pointers; opposing clubs have put up the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (37.3%).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court.
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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