Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics · Jan 21, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+114/-146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +122 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 6.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Malcolm Brogdon has made 3.6 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season away from home.
The Boston Celtics have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.
The Raptors have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (which can also lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Raptors is a difficult one for three-pointers; the other team have averaged the 7th-least shots from downtown per game in the league this year while at home (12.7).
The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Celtics have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Raptors.
Malcolm Brogdon will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player performance in all stat categories.