Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/19/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 19, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-154/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +124 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has sunk a terrific 44.2% of his 3-pointers this season, a big improvement over his 29.6 rate last season.
The Boston Celtics have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
The Celtics have played at the quickest pace in the league this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Warriors.
The Warriors have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the league to opposing teams this year while playing on the road (which also produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally raises player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Warriors is a difficult one for threes; when playing away from home, their opposition have averaged the least three-point shots per game in the league this year (14.5).
The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).