Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2024

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Washington Wizards

Assists

Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks · Dec 28, 2024

Updated Dec 28, 2024 9:26 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has put up 4.8 assists per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.2 more than he's put up over the course of the year at home.
The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Washington Wizards.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increase stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Wizards will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks).