Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Assists

Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 10:09 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has averaged 5.7 assists per game this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's best in this category in recent games.
The Spurs have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Portland Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out 15thbest in in the league on their home court with 14.6 offensive boards per game this year.
Without the home court advantage, the Spurs have allowed the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to raise player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA playing at home this year.