Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Assists

Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 3, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 11:03 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+104/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +107 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has tallied 3.6 assists per game away from his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should raise opportunities for the Trail Blazers.
Malcolm Brogdon figures to get a boost in production in all stat categories due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The 8th-most lethargic tempo road team in the NBA this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Trail Blazers grade out 8thworst in in the league while on the road with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are at home, their opposition has snagged 10.9 offensive boards per game (9th-most in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies (maintaining possessions that can produce additional chances for offense).