Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 10:03 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has put up 3.6 assists per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 81st percentile.

Favors Under

The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league while playing away from home this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Portland Trail Blazers rank 8thworst in in the NBA when playing away from home with a mere 9.7 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, opposing squads have captured 11.0 offensive rebounds per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Detroit Pistons (preserving possessions that can result in more chances for offense).
Malcolm Brogdon ought to suffer a reduction in output across the board on account of playing away from hom in this game.

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