Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/21/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · May 21, 2023

Updated May 22, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-172/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has put up 3.8 assists per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders in this category.
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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