Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 9, 2023

Updated May 9, 2023 8:16 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+134/-164).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -158 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -164.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has tallied 3.6 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the NBA's hottest by this standard in recent games: 81st percentile.
The 76ers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.5) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally raises player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The 76ers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).