Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/3/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · May 3, 2023

Updated May 3, 2023 11:36 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has averaged 3.7 assists per game this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard recently.
The 76ers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.5) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally improves player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
The 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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