Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics · Apr 27, 2023

Updated Apr 27, 2023 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has averaged 3.8 assists per game this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's best by this standard recently.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which should raise possessions for the Celtics.
The Hawks have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decreases player production in all stat categories.