Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Utah Jazz · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Mar 31, 2023 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+114/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has averaged 3.7 assists per game this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's hottest by this standard recently.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games at home.
The Jazz have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Celtics.
Malcolm Brogdon will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Jazz have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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