Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/30/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics · Mar 30, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -143 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has posted 3.8 assists per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this metric.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Bucks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Celtics.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The Bucks have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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