Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has put up 5.9 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 95th percentile.
Malcolm Brogdon has averaged 33.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 90th percentile.
The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Trail Blazers have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to improves player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.

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