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Malcolm Brogdon

Malcolm Brogdon Assists
Player Prop - 2/27/2023

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -133 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Malcolm Brogdon has totaled 5.9 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 95th percentile.

Malcolm Brogdon has been on the court for 33.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 90th percentile.

While playing at home, the Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing away from home.

The Knicks have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Malcolm Brogdon will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player performance for all stats.

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