Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 28, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has totaled 4.6 assists per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.3 higher than he's totaled over the course of the season at home.
Malcolm Brogdon has tallied 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.1 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
The Celtics have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home court this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Lakers.
Malcolm Brogdon will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Lakers have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (14.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Boston Celtics have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.

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