Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2023

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Malcolm Brogdon

NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Boston Celtics vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-144/+118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -144 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has averaged 3.9 assists per game this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- near the top of the league in this category in recent days.
The Celtics have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year away from their home city, which ought to boost plays for the Pelicans.
The Pelicans have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (which can also create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to boosts player production across the board.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA since the start of last season while on their home court.

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