Malcolm Brogdon Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Malcolm Brogdon

G · Boston Celtics

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Boston Celtics · Jan 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Malcolm Brogdon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Malcolm Brogdon has posted 4.4 assists per game this year on the road, placing him among the NBA's hottest by this standard in recent games: 88th percentile.
The Celtics have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should raise possessions for the Spurs.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Malcolm Brogdon will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player performance for all stats.